⚫ In memoriam — Joshua Baer, founder of Capital Factory (1975–2026). Read the tribute →
The evidence wall

Every claim, with its receipt

All launch-day numbers in one place, each traceable to a source. Third-party evals get added as they publish — claims without receipts don't get on the wall.

Guide current as of July 12, 2026. Fable 5 is included on Pro/Max/Team plans through July 12; usage credits from July 13. Latest news →

FableGuide › Benchmarks

Benchmark table comparing Claude Fable and Mythos to other leading models
The master table from Anthropic's announcement — Fable and Mythos against other frontier models.

Software engineering

ClaimSource
50-million-line Ruby migration completed in one day (team scoped two months)Stripe, via announcement
Highest frontier score on FrontierCode — at medium effort (chart, chart 2)Cognition
"State of the art model on CursorBench"Michael Truell, Cursor
Long-horizon autonomy "exceeded previous benchmarks"Mario Rodriguez, GitHub
Highest on ViBench end-to-end vibe-coding, "nearly saturating base use cases"Michele Catasta, Vibe

Knowledge work & research

ClaimSource
First past 90% on core analytics benchmark — 10 points over Opus; top of Finance BenchmarkIzzy Miller, Hebbia
"Aced trading-analysis evaluations nearly across the board"IMC
Strongest on frontier physics at a third of the reasoning tokens; in 36 hours reached "nearly" where GPT-5.5 landed in four days (partner report, not an independent eval)Matthew Pines, Notation Capital — via announcement, June 9, 2026

Vision, memory, autonomy

ClaimSource
Completed Pokémon FireRed vision-only with a minimal harnessAnnouncement
Rebuilds web-app source from screenshots; extracts precise values from scientific figuresAnnouncement
With file memory in Slay the Spire: improved 3× more than Opus 4.8; reached final act 3× more oftenAnnouncement

Independent results (early — day two)

ClaimSource
#2 of 123 models, 96/100 overall, on the provisional leaderboard; top-tier coding and agentic scores; #18 on multimodal/grounded (79) — the first independent wrinkle in the vision storyBenchLM
95.0% on SWE-Bench VerifiedReported via BenchLM aggregation
AA-Omniscience knowledge benchmark: 40 — seven points above the previous leader, Gemini 3.1 ProArtificial Analysis, via Simon Willison
91/100 on Every's internal senior-engineer exam (Opus 4.8: 63)Every, via AI+ Founders
Guardrail fallback observed on ~8–9% of tasks (mostly scientific) — vs the announced <5% session average; methodology differs (tasks vs sessions), flagged as the launch's most checkable open questionThe Decoder
Sustained 12-hour autonomous runsDigital Today

Early and provisional — leaderboards move in week one. Tracked in News.

The hard-split picture — updated July

The pattern worth noticing isn't the lead, it's that the lead widens as problems get harder. Comparative numbers below are from third-party breakdowns of Anthropic's launch data.

ClaimSource
SWE-Bench Pro: 80.3% — ahead of Opus 4.8 (69.2%), GPT-5.5 (58.6%), Gemini 3.1 Pro (54.2%). The harder, contamination-resistant variant of the number everyone quoted at launch.Vellum
FrontierCode, Diamond split (hardest): 29.3% — more than double Opus 4.8 (13.4%) and over 5× GPT-5.5 (5.7%). The lead is largest exactly where the others fall apart.Vellum, Cognition
Caveat: on the longest agentic tasks, runs can hit the evaluation harness timeout before finishing — so some results read as an experience signal rather than a clean leaderboard score.Multiple third-party evaluators

Framing and numbers tracked in News.

Mythos research results

Run with safeguards lifted, by vetted partners — context on the Mythos page:

ClaimSource
~10× acceleration on aspects of drug design; 9 of 14 protein targets yielded strong candidates (chart)Announcement
Hypotheses preferred ~80% over Opus-class in blinded comparisons; one corroborated independentlyAnnouncement
Genomics model beat a recent Science publication at 1/100th the size, from a week-long autonomous runAnnouncement
Beat dedicated protein language models on AAV prediction (chart)Announcement
Reading the wall: everything above is launch-day material — Anthropic's own numbers and partner quotes from the announcement. Independent third-party evals get their own section here as they publish. If a claim has no receipt, it doesn't go up.
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